Oh that’s an interesting one. The expected value is higher if you pull the lever, so based on pure logic you shouldn’t.
But I think I would, hoping for that 3/4 where I don’t live with the guilt. I guess you can’t expected value qualitative factors. But I always roll 1s in Blood Bowl so maybe that’s dangerous.
I think the calculus comes down to “will I feel 5x worse if five people die than if just one dies?” Chances are, no, it is more of a binary yes/no for feeling guilty. So from a purely selfish standpoint I want to minimize the chances I will walk away regretting my decision. That means pulling the lever.
Oh that’s an interesting one. The expected value is higher if you pull the lever, so based on pure logic you shouldn’t.
But I think I would, hoping for that 3/4 where I don’t live with the guilt. I guess you can’t expected value qualitative factors. But I always roll 1s in Blood Bowl so maybe that’s dangerous.
I think the calculus comes down to “will I feel 5x worse if five people die than if just one dies?” Chances are, no, it is more of a binary yes/no for feeling guilty. So from a purely selfish standpoint I want to minimize the chances I will walk away regretting my decision. That means pulling the lever.
No it’s 1 either way, right?
It’s 1 if you do nothing. 0 or 5 if you pull. There’s four tracks when you pull so on average it will result in 1.25 deaths.